About
Tabiri is Kenya's social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, football, entertainment, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Prediction markets like Tabiri are well calibrated: market probabilities are created by traders putting their money where their mouth is, and historically land within a few percentage points of the true probability.
When traders are wrong, they lose to sharper traders — so prices keep getting more honest. Many people who don't like betting still use prediction markets to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?KSh (KSh) is the play-money currency used to trade on Tabiri. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with KSh 1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in Kenya to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and trade on any type of question.
How do prizes work?
Tabiri runs regular prize drawings for top forecasters.
No purchase necessary — you can claim a free entry once per drawing.
Intro video
Everything you need to know in 7 minutes presented by an animated corgi:
Our mission
Provide the most accurate, real-time predictions on any event.
Combat misleading news by incentivising traders to be fast and correct.
Help people make more informed decisions by improving their model of the future.
Still have questions?
FAQ
Answers to common questions
Community guidelines
Rules, norms, and expectations
Sitemap
I can't find something
If you need help with a specific market please tag @mods in a comment for help!